Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.033233 0.036229 0.039239 0.042484 0.045878 0.049317 0.053060
2026-01-11 0.028928 0.033402 0.038039 0.043179 0.048697 0.054421 0.060788
2026-01-18 0.025494 0.031054 0.036978 0.043709 0.051092 0.058899 0.067735
2026-01-25 0.021365 0.027541 0.034317 0.042203 0.051038 0.060549 0.071484
2026-02-01 0.018575 0.025256 0.032782 0.041733 0.051943 0.063101 0.076093
2026-02-08 0.016401 0.023477 0.031652 0.041566 0.053059 0.065781 0.080758
2026-02-15 0.015287 0.022846 0.031763 0.042748 0.055642 0.070057 0.087168
2026-02-22 0.014181 0.022122 0.031681 0.043633 0.057827 0.073841 0.092992
2026-03-01 0.013008 0.021214 0.031298 0.044096 0.059465 0.076959 0.098027
2026-03-08 0.011835 0.020214 0.030729 0.044271 0.060715 0.079589 0.102472
2026-03-15 0.011149 0.019802 0.030852 0.045254 0.062897 0.083282 0.108128
2026-03-22 0.009815 0.018409 0.029651 0.044538 0.062989 0.084490 0.110872
2026-03-29 0.008923 0.017592 0.029177 0.044735 0.064208 0.087064 0.115266
2026-04-05 0.008282 0.017087 0.029085 0.045392 0.065977 0.090287 0.120425
2026-04-12 0.007643 0.016538 0.028899 0.045906 0.067556 0.093276 0.125309
2026-04-19 0.006366 0.014905 0.027158 0.044342 0.066502 0.093068 0.126384
2026-04-26 0.005556 0.013930 0.026272 0.043851 0.066754 0.094409 0.129275
2026-05-03 0.004917 0.013171 0.025648 0.043675 0.067381 0.096185 0.132672
2026-05-10 0.004714 0.013138 0.026063 0.044889 0.069776 0.100123 0.138664
2026-05-17 0.004446 0.012966 0.026259 0.045798 0.071775 0.103574 0.144073
2026-05-24 0.004089 0.012601 0.026149 0.046273 0.073205 0.106319 0.148629
2026-05-31 0.003691 0.012119 0.025838 0.046453 0.074239 0.108567 0.152580
2026-06-07 0.003511 0.012038 0.026128 0.047463 0.076353 0.112155 0.158158